Best bets for Jaylen Brown, Kevin Durant, more

The Miami Heat had the best record in the Eastern Conference last season, but they find themselves in 10th place and come into the game tonight. Center Bam Adebayo will take them to Indiana tonight where they face off against Tyrese Haliburton and the Pacers.

The Brooklyn Nets outmaneuvered the Pacers on Saturday night as the Nets have been on the rise lately, winning eight of their last 10 games. Tonight they will be back in full force and Kevin Durant will be in his hometown to take on the Washington Wizards.

However, the game of the night takes place in Los Angeles, where the Clippers host the Celtics. The Clippers beat Washington on Saturday night while the Celtics lost another high-profile matchup to the Warriors. Can Jaylen Brown help Boston get back on track?

NBA Player Props and Tips

Bam Adebayo on 9.5 rebounds (-130)

Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers heat -3
time | TV 7:10 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
best line fan duel

This season, Adebayo is averaging 9.2 rebounds per game, which is just under that limit. He’s crossed that line five times in the last 10 games, including two of the last three games. In that stretch, he had games with 14, 11, 12, and 15 rebounds and another in which he just missed with nine rebounds.

Tonight, Adebayo gets a cheap matchup against the Pacers. Indiana is 26th in the league for legal rebounds allowed, 28th for offensive rebounds allowed, and 23rd for defensive rebounds allowed. Adebayo is in a favorable place to clean the offensive glass against the Pacers, having 10 rebounds against Indiana, including three offensive boards, in the first matchup of this series.

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Adebayo has played at least 30 minutes in 23 of 25 games this season. Aside from one blowout, he has plenty of chances to get 10 rebounds.

Kevin Durant over 28.5 points (-105)

Brooklyn Nets vs. Washington Wizards Nets -6
time | TV 7:10 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
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Few players in the game’s history have scored as easily as Kevin Durant. He has averaged 27.3 points per game in his career and up to 30 per game this season. This means that on an average night, Durant breaks that limit. With consistency, Durant will generally be in the 30 point range. He’s scored at least 25 points in 24 of 27 games this season, so he’s essentially two baskets off that line tonight.

Durant has 29 points in seven of his last eight games, including a 39-point game against the Wizards on Nov. 30. Durant hasn’t been very kind to his hometown team this season, having averaged 33.5 points in two games against the Wizards this season.

Durant loves to play in midfield and is making 62.6% of his two-point field goal attempts this season. His 58% accuracy on mid-range shots is in the 89th percentile, which is incredible, especially considering he has a large sample of those shots and is in the 100th percentile with 60% of his shots coming from mid-range come.

Despite being a great shooter, he hasn’t had to rely on his 3-point shot much this season. However, if he decides to shoot more 3s tonight, Washington presents a favorable matchup. The Wizards are 20th in 3-points allowed per game and 28th in 3-point percentage allowed. Durant also hits the free throw line 7.4 times per game and makes 92% of them.

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With so many chances to score, it would be surprising if Durant didn’t have a great scoring night against Washington tonight.

Jaylen Brown on 6.5 rebounds (-132)

Boston Celtics versus Los Angeles Clippers Celtic’s -3.5
time | TV 10:40 p.m. ET | NBATV
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Jaylen Brown has become one of the top-rebounding wings in the league as he’s averaging a career-high 7.2 rebounds per game this season. He has had seven or more rebounds in seven of his last 10 games. However, he has developed really well in his last five and has defected in all five. Brown averaged 9.6 rebounds in his last five games, including games with 14 and 10 rebounds during that span.

Brown had nine rebounds against the Warriors on Saturday. The Warriors presented Brown with a favorable rebound matchup as they attempted many 3-pointers. Missing 3-pointers often result in long rebounds, making them easier for players on the edge to collect. The Warriors attempted 39 3s Saturday night.

The Clippers are as healthy as we’ve seen them all season, and when they’re perfectly healthy they try a lot of 3’s too. On Saturday night, the Clippers attempted 48 three-pointers against Washington. While the Clippers may not get close to 50 again, especially against a better defensive team in Boston, 35-40 3s will still do well for Brown. Overall, the Clippers rank 21st in rebounds allowed in the league. I like Brown’s chances of collecting at least seven boards tonight.

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