Bucks vs Mavericks NBA odds, tips and predictions tonight

In Friday night’s biggest match, the top two scorers will meet at the Fiserv Forum in a marquee match between teams who are both winners of their last three. Read more in our Bucks vs Mavericks betting tips.

Last Updated: December 8, 2022 8:41 PM ET
Reading time: 4 minutes

Friday night offers basketball fans a possible preview of the NBA Finals when the 18-6 Milwaukee Bucks take on the 13-11 Dallas Mavericks. Both clubs are on three winning streaks and the Mavs will be looking to avenge an earlier season away loss to the Bucks.

Who will emerge victorious? Find out in our free NBA picks and predictions for Bucks vs. Mavericks December 9th.

Bucks vs Mavericks best odds

Bucks vs. Mavericks tips and predictions

The Mavericks start putting things together. They’ve won four of their last five and appear to have shaken off their road troubles with back-to-back wins against New York and Denver. The Mavs beat Phoenix at home by 19 and are 10-3 SU at home this season.

Luka Doncic leads the league in scoring, having scored 30 or more in four of his last five goals. Christian Wood was in a reserve role when these teams last met, helping Doncic on goals and on the glass. Tim Hardaway Jr. was also on fire, averaging 24 points in his last five games and shooting over 40% from downtown.

The Bucks have a firm grip on second place in the East and have won four of their last five. Giannis Antetokoumnpo averages a double-double and is second in the league standings with 32.1 points per game. He’s the most important man for Milwaukee, but the Bucks got a boost when Khris Middleton returned this week from a season-ending injury. Jrue Holiday and Bobby Portis also had solid campaigns for a Bucks team that finished 14th in standings but third in points allowed.

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Dallas has led the league in goals in the last five games and is 4-1 against spreads over the same period. The Mavs have been red hot, and a lot of that has to do with Hardaway helping one team knock down 41% of their triples during that run.

Dallas won’t shoot the Bucks out of the gym (Milwaukee has allowed 8.4 triples a night in their last five games), but Dallas has pulled off impressive wins against two of the best teams in the West this week and is playing with incredible confidence.

The absence of Middleton’s goal in the Bucks’ lineup has hurt offense, and the star shooting guard is still looking for his legs after missing most of this season. Milwaukee have Giannis and a distinct advantage on the glass, but lack the third scorer it takes to win this game against the league’s fourth-best defense.

Cover Dallas on Friday.

my best bet: Mavericks +1 (-110 at Caesars)

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Bucks vs. Mavericks spread analysis

While the Bucks are winners of their last three, two of those wins came against teams that are unlikely to make the playoffs. Milwaukee has averaged 115 points in their last five games and allowed 109 per contest.

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Dallas has defeated Golden State, New York, Phoenix and Denver in their last five games, shooting 48% from the field while averaging 121 points per game. The Mavs have slipped a bit defensively, conceding six more points than their season average of 108.

The Bucks are 6-3 SU away and face a Mavericks team with a 10-3 home record.

Bucks vs Mavericks Over/Under Analysis

We’ve got a game with two of the best defenses in the league and I’m leaning under 223 points.

Attacking is league average, but Milwaukee has played faster since Middleton’s return. Milwaukee will own the glass on both ends of the floor, but Dallas is ninth in terms of second chance points allowed (12.9), and Milwaukee likely won’t get the 15-second chance points they typically enjoy .

For the season, Milwaukee is 12-12 to the over, and the over is 2-7 when the Bucks are the away team. The over sits 2-3 above the last five, largely due to their second-best defensive rating in the league.

Dallas is 15-9 to the over and the over is 8-5 at American Airlines Center. The over is 4-1 over the last five, with the league’s 11th best defensive rating.

Bucks vs. Mavericks Betting Trend You Should Know

The Bucks are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games in Dallas. Find more NBA betting trends for Bucks vs. Mavericks.

Information about the game Bucks vs. Mavericks

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Date: Friday 9 December 2022
Tip: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

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