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You’ll find that I put a lot of faith in Minnesota’s recent game against Portland. I like the 230 over/under and a bounce back win for the T-Wolves. A few Dallas players didn’t make our top endorsements, but I’d compare their lineup to the Thunder if you’re still looking for goals.
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Below are some of the newer and more significant injury scenarios we’re looking at for Wednesday’s chart.
memes Yes Morant (thigh) – QUESTIONABLE
memes Steven Adams (ankle) – QUESTIONABLE
If Morant doesn’t make it, Tyus Jones ($5,600) is the likely starter in its place. If Adams pauses, turn to Brandon Clarke ($5,000).
CLE Donovan Mitchell (Leg) – QUESTIONABLE
CLE kevin love (back) – QUESTIONABLE
Caris LeVert last started for Mitchell so head that way if he stays out. With the forecourt otherwise healthy, Love’s absence will not have a major impact.
ATL Dejount Murray (ankle) – OFF
ATL JohnCollins (ankle) – OFF
There’s nothing wrong with a little shameless self-promotion. We have identified ourselves Bogdan Bogdanovic ($5,600) as the man to trust on Sunday and he delivered and allowed me to cash in down the line. While he may not repeat his 28-point performance, his result should be worth his salary.
WAS Bradley Beal (thigh) – QUESTIONABLE
WAS Monte Morris (Bar) – QUESTIONABLE
Jordan Goodwin ($5,200) and Corey Kispert ($3,900) will be Washington’s backcourt if neither starter makes it onto the pitch tonight.
SAN Jacob Poeltl (knee) – OUT
Seek ZachCollins ($5,200) instead of Pöltl, who is still sitting.
BKN Royce O’Neale (personal) – OFF
O’Neale has made a solid contribution for the Nets. TJ Warren ($3,700) needs more repetitions, so I suspect its consumption will increase in O’Neale’s absence.
BOS Al Horford (personal) – OFF
The Celtics seem content with putting Blake Griffins ($4,300) out there as a starter, so roll over to him in Horford’s absence. It’s also supposed to be a bit of a revenge scenario for Griffin against the Clippers.
Even though Luke Doncic ($12,000) carries an injury stamp, he should be good to go up against the Thunder and, as always, is a late-night chalk option. In DFS production, too, we find ourselves in the familiar situation of having to decide between two duos. PaulGeorge ($9,100) and Kawhi Leonard ($6,300) may offer best value but i like Kevin Durant ($10,300) and Kyrie Irving ($8,700) more. There’s enough value on the board to make room for a stack, but I don’t see it as a must.
Going further down the list, the possible absence of Nicolas Claxton prompts me to give Kristaps Porzingis ($9,200) an extended look, and I’m also expecting a bit more balance from the Hawks than Trae Young ($9,700) ceded much production to Bogdanovic on Sunday. Young should get some of that back tonight. I also believe that we are not paying too much Jaylen Brown ($8,500) or Kyle Kuzma ($8,400) to their respective salaries.
EXPECTED CHALK AND OTHER TARGETS
Rudy GobertMIN ($7,600) @ POR
The Timberwolves are staying close to play Portland again and you had to like Gobert’s uncharacteristic line on Saturday night. The absence of Karl-Anthony Towns certainly helps, but Gobert thrived in the scoring department instead of boasting a big rebound count. He’s now had two games in a row with 20+ points and a double-double is always possible for the elite defender.
D’Angelo RussellMIN ($7,200) @ POR
I will continue to trust the topicality and stay with the Timberwolves. Russell had a torrid fourth quarter that resulted in a 30-point performance. His secondary numbers were off, but that’s what has to happen when you’re venting threesomes with abandon. He might give some output to Anthony Edwards this time, but it will still be Russell’s show to direct.
Devin VasellSAN ($6,800) vs CLE
Vassell isn’t someone I would normally trust, but he came back from a knee problem with a solid stat line. I doubt we’ll see 35 FDFP frequently, but he might be able to find a lead without Donovan Mitchell for Cleveland. He needs to keep up the shot volume to help us, but his salary makes him a worthwhile GPP player.
Clint CapelaATL ($6,200) @ MEM
The Grizzlies represent a pretty good spot for Capela since Steven Adams may not be available. Capela is on an incredible eight-game double-double streak and all signs point to another night of double-digit rebounds. I’m doing well too AJ Griffin ($4,500) as a player that can be exploited at this point.
Also consider: Dillon BrooksMEM ($6,200) vs. ATL
Ivica ZubacLAC ($6,000) vs. BOS
There’s no question Zubac’s stat lines can be rocky, which is why we see him at this low salary. Boston is without Al Horford to help and while it will be a mini-homecoming for Blake Griffin, Zubac should be able to let him know he won’t be missed. I would pick Zubac over Griffin as the winner, despite the intangible.
Kyle AndersonMIN ($5,600) @ POR
I know we’re hammering Minnesota, but it’s hard to find a valuable bench player who’s contributing as much across the board as Anderson has done lately. That sort of production may be temporary, but there seems to be a direct link between his numbers and Karl-Anthony Towns’ absence. As long as KAT is out, I’ll be looking in Anderson’s direction.
Luke KennardLAC ($3,500) vs. BOS
It’s been a bumpy road back for Kennard, but he woke up with a good result against the Wizards, which is a sign he may be feeling like the old man. I think his dual eligibility allows us to play the Celtics for the cheapest possible salary.
Also consider: Charles BasseySAN ($5,100) vs CLE, Victor OladipoMIA ($4,000)@IND (Mini Revenge Game)
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