NBA Odds: Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds and Picks

The Minnesota Timberwolves (13-13) visit the Portland Trail Blazers (14-12) on Monday. Promotion ends at 10:10pm ET. Below we continue our NBA odds series with a Timberwolves Blazers prediction and selection.

Minnesota has won two of its last three games but still sits tenth in the Western Conference. The Timberwolves are 10-16 against the spread while 58% of their games have gone down. Portland has won three of its last four games to move up to sixth place in the West. The Trail Blazers are 17-9 against the spread while 54% of their games are down. This will be the second of four encounters between the two teams. Portland won the first game on Saturday: 124-118.

Here are the Timberwolves-Blazers NBA odds, courtesy of FanDuel

NBA Odds: Timberwolves Blazers Odds

Minnesota Timberwolves: +4 (-110)

Portland Trailblazer: -4 (-110)

Above: 230 (-110)

Below: 230 (-110)

Why the Timberwolves could cover the spread

Minnesota has had a season of ups and downs but has largely underperformed after high expectations in the preseason. Wolves were solid on offense, finishing ninth in scoring and 17th in offensive scoring. However, they struggle somewhat on defense as they rank 23rd in points allowed and 15th in defensive rating. Their greatest weakness is on the glass, where they rank 22nd in rebound difference and 24th in rebound rate.

With Karl-Anthony Towns injured, Wolves had to rely on winger Anthony Edwards to shoulder the load up front. Edwards didn’t take the leap that many expected of him preseason, but he still excelled. For the season, Edwards averages 22.9 PPG and 5.7 RPG while shooting 46% from the field. He has continued to develop as a playmaker, averaging a 4.0 APG. Edwards still develops as an outside shooter, but takes enough of them to keep opposing defenses honest (2.5 3PM at 35%). Despite losing to Portland on Saturday, Edwards shone. He scored 26 points, gave out seven assists, and grabbed six rebounds. His strong play lately and his ability to take over games should be kept in mind before making a Timberwolves Blazers prediction.

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While non-KAT Edwards has been the focus, point guard D’Angelo Russell has been slowly building form, especially lately. In his last nine games, Russell has averaged 21.2 PPG and 6.4 APG while shooting 53% from the field. He has 24 points in each of his last four games — including a 24-point performance against the Trail Blazers in which he made four of five three-pointers. The Blazers have already proven they don’t have the answer for him, but he’ll need to continue his recent strong game if the Timberwolves are to mark.

Why the Trail Blazers could cover the spread

Portland has cooled since their explosive start, but they remain firmly in the playoff picture. Portland is a strong two-way team that excels on offense. The Trail Blazers are ranked 19th in points standings and 11th in offensive standings. They are solid on defense, ranking 11th in points allowed and 23rd in defensive scoring. The Blazers excel on the glass as they rank ninth in rebound difference and 11th in rebound rate. Notably, winger Josh Hart is likely for tonight’s matchup while Gary Payton II is absent.

The Trail Blazers continued to exceed preseason expectations thanks to their “big three” Damian Lillard, Anfernee Simons and Jerami Grant. Lillard leads the team with an average of 27.6 PPG. He continues to be an underrated playmaker with a team high of 7.4 APG. Despite not shooting particularly well this season, Dame (43% from the field and 36% from three) is a dangerous goalscorer who does more than keep opposing defenses honest from deep. Lillard set the Timberwolves on fire in their matchup on Saturday – he scored 36 points and dished out eight assists. His recent win against Minnesota is something to keep in mind when making a Timberwolves Blazers prediction.

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While Lillard is the top dog, Simons and Grant have quietly established All-Star caliber numbers of their own. Simons ranks second in the team with 24.2 PPG. Grant is right behind him at an average of 22.5 PPG. Simons contributes as a playmaker (4.4 APG) while Grant contributes to the glass (4.2 RPG). Both players were efficient, shooting over 44% from the field, but it’s their efficiency from beyond the arc that’s really helping Portland tonight. Simons averages over four threes per game while throwing 39% of threes. Those are great numbers for sure, but Grant’s shooting is what’s really impressive. The forward shoots from beyond the arc 45% of the time while averaging 2.8 threes per game. The pair have a combined 48 points in Saturday’s win and expect another strong performance tonight.

Timberwolves Blazers final prediction and selection

Portland sent Minnesota home on Saturday, and I don’t see much change tonight. The Wolves just don’t have the staff to slow down the Blazers’ searing offense.

Final Timberwolves-Blazers Prediction & Pick: Portland Trail Blazers -4 (-110)

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