Rockets-Kings prediction, choose how to watch

The Houston Rockets (10-30) visit the Sacramento Kings (21-18) on Wednesday night. Promotion ends at 10:10pm ET. Below we continue our NBA odds series with a Rockets Kings prediction and selection.

Houston has lost seven straight games and has climbed to last place in the West. The Rockets have covered 45% of their games while falling 53% under forecast. Sacramento has lost two of its last three but still sits fifth in the West. The Kings covered 54% of their games while drowning 53%. This will be the first of four encounters between the two teams. Last season, the Kings won three out of four duels with the Rockets.

Here are the Rockets-Kings NBA odds, courtesy of FanDuel

NBA Odds: Rockets Kings Odds

Houston Missiles: +9.5 (-110)

Kings of Sacramento: -9.5 (-110)

About: 237 (-112)

Below: 237 (-108)

How to watch Rockets vs Kings

Television: ATTSN Southwest, NBCS California

Stream: NBA League Pass

Time: 10:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM PT

*Watch NBA games LIVE with fuboTV (click for free trial)*

Why the missiles could cover the spread

Houston has gone crater after some promises earlier in the season and are now a front-runner to snag top picks in next summer’s draft. The Rockets have the fifth-worst record against the spread, going 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games. The biggest problem of late is her offense. The Rockets have averaged just 104 PPG in their last seven games — the second-lowest mark in the league for that span. That said, the Rockets continue to be a strong rebound team, and that’s where they could potentially beat Sacramento. Houston ranks fourth in rebounding (56.2 RPG). They’re particularly dangerous on the offensive glass, where they rank first with a 13.2 ORPG.

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If the key to Houston’s coverage comes through the glass tonight, that starts with center Alperen Sengun. Sengun has made a huge leap in his second NBA season, averaging 14.6 PPG and 8.6 RPG. He averages the seventh most offensive rebounds per game (3.3 ORPG) despite playing just 27 minutes per game. The 6’11” tall man has shown that he can also be a high-level goalscorer, especially in the last few games. He has scored 18 and 20 points in his last two games, while catching 22 rebounds.

Regardless of what Sengun does below, the Rockets will only go as far as their guards allow them. Jalen Green (21.2 PPG) and Kevin Porter Jr. (19.5 PPG) make up the Rockets’ talented but fickle backcourt. Green has sky-high potential after being drafted second in last year’s draft, but shows a wide range of variance from night to night. He’s coming off his worst game of the year in which he scored nine points on 4/15 against the Timberwolves. Before that, however, he had scored 30 points and dropped four threes against the Jazz. While Green may have more potential than his backcourt colleague, Porter Jr. has been the more consistent player lately. Porter Jr. has 23+ points in four of his last five games and has lost multiple three-pointers in each of his last eight appearances.

Why the kings could cover the spread

Sacramento has been one of the feel-good stories of the season so far as they try to weather the longest playoff drought in the NBA. The Kings have a great chance to cover tonight thanks to their explosive offense. Sacramento leads the league with 118.8 PPG. They rank seventh in fast break scoring (15.3 PPG) and fourth in assists (26.9 APG). Those strong numbers bode well tonight against a Houston defense that allows for a 10th most points per game (115.9 opp PPG) and fastest break points per game (17.5 opp PPG).

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The Kings love taking the break as they rank seventh in pace of play (103.7 possessions per game). That starts with lightning-fast point guard De’Aaron Fox. Fox leads the Kings with 23.8 PPG while also dishing out 6.0 APG. Despite being a fickle marksman, he still maintains 50.2 FG%. Fox has been the catalyst behind Sacramento’s turnaround this season and he will likely be looking to bounce back from a tough Monday outing. Despite her 25-point win over Magic, Fox only managed 11 points. He had scored 34, 25 and 37 goals in the previous three games so expect a rebound tonight.

The biggest factor in whether or not Sacramento will emerge as a strong home favorite is Domantas Sabonis’ game. Sabonis is a uniquely tall man, leading his team in assists (6.8 APG) while also scoring second on the team (18.7 PPG). However, for tonight’s purposes, his league-leading 12.4 RPG is what really stands out. Houston’s greatest strength is her rebound ability – something Sabonis will try to negate tonight.

Final Rockets-Kings Prediction & Selection

Houston is in free fall right now, and with Sacramento’s recent game, I don’t expect that to stop tonight.

Final Rockets-Kings Prediction & Pick: Sacramento Kings -9.5 (-110)

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