The San Antonio Spurs (13-28) visit the Memphis Grizzlies (27-13) Wednesday night. Promotion ends at 8:10pm ET. Below we continue our NBA odds series with a Spurs Grizzlies prediction and selection.
San Antonio has lost five of their last six games and is 14th in the Western Conference. Spurs covered 49% of their games while exceeding 59% of predicted points. Memphis has won seven straight games and ranks first in the Western Conference. The Grizzlies covered 53% of their games while drowning 53%. This will be the third of four encounters between the two teams. Memphis won both previous matchups, including a 121-113 win on Monday.
Here are the Spurs-Grizzlies NBA odds, courtesy of FanDuel
NBA Odds: Spurs Grizzlies Odds
San Antonio Spurs: +13.5 (-110)
Memphis Grizzlies: -13.5 (-110)
Above: 238.5 (-110)
Below: 238.5 (-110)
How to get Spurs vs. grizzlies
Television: Bally South West, Bally South East
Stream: NBA League Pass
Time: 8:00 p.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. PT
*Watch NBA games LIVE with fuboTV (click for free trial)*
Why the Spurs could cover the spread
San Antonio is firmly in “tank mode” as they hold the fourth worst record in the entire league. That being said, the Spurs have struggled against the Grizzlies in their previous two matchups, and thanks to their unique offense tonight they have a great shot at putting down a hefty street spread. Despite only finishing 23rd in points (112 PPG), the Spurs are sixth in points standings (54.6 PPG). That’s largely thanks to their offensive rebound ability, as San Antonio ranks eighth in offensive rebound (11.9 ORPG). They also do a great job of sharing the ball, finishing third in assists (27 APG).
Spurs could be missing their top two goalscorers again tonight with Devin Vassell absent while Keldon Johnson is listed as questionable. In their absence, point guard Tre Jones has been given the keys to the offense. In Monday’s loss to Memphis, he put in an admirable performance, scoring 18 points and giving away seven assists. That just continues his strong last series of games. In his last four games, Jones averaged 18.8 PPG and 5.3 APG. Regardless of whether Johnson plays or not, Jones is likely to play a big role and is a big reason they are able to cover a massive scatter.
Along with one of the best inside teams in the league, the Spurs will need strong nights from their big boys if they are to mark. Zach Collins and Jakob Poeltl combined for 22 points and 13 rebounds in their 50 minutes on Monday. Those numbers need to improve and given their recent game, they probably will. Collins averaged 12.4 PPG and 5.4 RPG over the last five games, while Poeltl averaged 9.0 PPG and 10.5 RPG. Memphis has one of the best central defenses in the NBA – meaning the Spurs have a chance of covering the likely ride on the shoulders of their greats.
Why the Grizzlies could be covering the spread
Memphis is currently the hottest team in the league as they have won their best seven straight games. The biggest reason for their recent success is their strong offense. Memphis has averaged 121.6 PPG during its most recent winning streak and now sits in eighth place all season (116.4 PPG). They dominate below and take first place in both points in color (58.8 PPG) and rebound (59.3 RPG). Memphis also boasts a top 1o defense that only allows for 111.3 PPG.
The Grizzlies are rolling now that they finally have their starting five healthy and that starts with point guard Ja Morant. Morant averaged 28.2 PPG and 8.8 APG in his seven-game winning streak. He’s shot 55% from the ground during that span and is making numbers despite playing just 32.3 minutes per game. That’s spot on for Ja, who averages 27.2 PPG and 8.0 APG for the season. Morant was noticeably absent from their matchup on Monday but performed well when meeting Spurs earlier in the season. In the win, Morant scored 32 points on 14/25 shooting. With Ja back in the herd, the Grizzlies have a huge chance to finally cover against a team they’re 2-0 against the spread this season.
Perhaps the biggest X-factor in their ability to cover tonight is Jaren Jackson Jr’s play. The up-and-coming big man ranks second on the team on the winning streak, averaging 18.4 PPG. He’s averaged 1.6 threes in that span while shooting 42% from the bow. Its greatest impact, however, comes from below. Jackson averaged a respectable 7.1 RPG, but was a force on defense. During their winning streak, he blocked 3.9 shots per game.
Final Spurs Grizzlies Prediction & Selection
With yes back, I want Memphis to finally cover for the Spurs and blow them out of the building.
Final Spurs-Grizzlies Prediction & Selection: Memphis Grizzlies -13.5 (-110)